Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.019700 0.021720 0.023749 0.025936 0.028221 0.030534 0.033046
2025-05-25 0.015391 0.018524 0.021804 0.025467 0.029419 0.033533 0.038120
2025-06-01 0.012438 0.016208 0.020295 0.024995 0.030193 0.035718 0.041988
2025-06-08 0.010197 0.014351 0.019008 0.024501 0.030703 0.037407 0.045122
2025-06-15 0.008701 0.013156 0.018302 0.024507 0.031633 0.039438 0.048518
2025-06-22 0.007171 0.011753 0.017220 0.023963 0.031838 0.040574 0.050843
2025-06-29 0.005620 0.010156 0.015779 0.022887 0.031339 0.040838 0.052118
2025-07-06 0.004330 0.008748 0.014454 0.021852 0.030806 0.040996 0.053212
2025-07-13 0.003775 0.008275 0.014259 0.022151 0.031810 0.042890 0.056251
2025-07-20 0.003053 0.007475 0.013582 0.021805 0.032008 0.043818 0.058158
2025-07-27 0.002497 0.006850 0.013088 0.021652 0.032406 0.044956 0.060285
2025-08-03 0.002393 0.006932 0.013549 0.022711 0.034276 0.047821 0.064406
2025-08-10 0.001909 0.006387 0.013201 0.022837 0.035153 0.049694 0.067603
2025-08-17 0.001287 0.005479 0.012300 0.022236 0.035157 0.050580 0.069721
2025-08-24 0.000824 0.004720 0.011538 0.021771 0.035297 0.051606 0.071989
2025-08-31 0.000476 0.004037 0.010816 0.021307 0.035399 0.052557 0.074145
2025-09-07 0.000279 0.003613 0.010456 0.021312 0.036080 0.054195 0.077101
2025-09-14 0.000103 0.003033 0.009766 0.020805 0.036065 0.054957 0.078991
2025-09-21 0.000005 0.002347 0.008780 0.019805 0.035356 0.054829 0.079787
2025-09-28 NaN 0.001762 0.007867 0.018845 0.034654 0.054676 0.080524
2025-10-05 NaN 0.001600 0.007774 0.019122 0.035613 0.056598 0.083771
2025-10-12 NaN 0.001295 0.007316 0.018801 0.035737 0.057454 0.085710
2025-10-19 NaN 0.001068 0.006985 0.018659 0.036092 0.058591 0.087984